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English

Bond yields, financial analysts say, show the market sees default within five years as a 90 per cent probability.[fn]Sebastian Boyd and Nathan Crooks, “Venezuela’s PDVSA sows payment doubts while extending swap”, Bloomberg, 17 October 2016.Hide Footnote Perhaps the government’s biggest problem in 2017 is its need for hard currency. Even China, which has provided some $60 billion since 2007, is reluctant to keep bailing out a government that shows no sign of implementing urgently needed economic reforms and whose political viability is in question.[fn]Kejal Vyas, “China rethinks its alliance with reeling Venezuela”, The Wall Street Journal, 11 September 2016.Hide Footnote Moreover, the government cannot constitutionally incur debt without National Assembly approval.

Spanish

El rendimiento de los bonos, dicen los analistas financieros, indica que el mercado estima en un 90 por ciento la probabilidad de un default dentro de los próximos cinco años.[fn]Sebastian Boyd y Nathan Crooks, “Venezuela’s PDVSA Sows Payment Doubts While Extending Swap”, Bloomberg, 17 de octubre unos $60 mil millones desde el 2007, es reacia a seguir rescatando a un gobierno que no muestra indicio alguno de implementar las urgentes reformas económicas que se necesitan, y cuya viabilidad política está en duda.septiembre del 2016.Hide Footnote Asimismo, la Constitución no permite al gobierno endeudarse sin la aprobación de la Asamblea Nacional.